Newsletter 155
Assets Covered: CME COMEX Copper, ICE Brent Crude Oil
Risk has been in focus with the specter of the Delta Variant looming (see the CDC data below). Nearly everyone is trying to figure out the extent of impact on public health, economies, supply chains and individual companies. Will economies be shuttered again? Weren’t supply chains supposed to back to normal by now? And so on.
Energy commodities experts Tracy Shuchart and Sam Madani joined forces in this special #QuickHit episode to talk about crude, OPEC+, JCPOA, and how lockdowns will affect the market this year. Most importantly, how investors should plan?
Tracy writes for a Hedge Fund Telemetry, where she is the energy and material strategist. She also manages an energy and materials portfolio for a family office. Meanwhile, Samir Madani is the co-founder of TankerTrackers.com. They’re an online service that keeps track of oil that’s being shipped around the world. …
Newsletter 154
This week’s newsletter is co-authored by Tony Nash and Dr Clint Laurent
Although mid-summer volatility is a tempting topic, we’ve taken a break from this week’s market drama to be a bit more thoughtful about longer term trends. Covid has drawn our attention for the last 18 months, but it is temporary. Believe it or not, there are larger risks and opportunities just over the horizon.
Our recent Quick Hit discussion with Clint Laurent of Global Demographics uncovered several compelling developments. You can find Part 1 here and Part 2 here.
China’s slowdown will affect the world
The world’s birth rate is changing. Clint Laurent from Global Demographics shares surprising discoveries that he believes will happen in the next 10 years and how this will shape the world?
This is the second part of this discussion. Go here for part one.
Clint started Global Demographics in 1996 and cover 117 countries throughout the world and China. They do that right down to county level of 2,248 counties. Clint believes that demographics are better than financial data from the point of view of forecasting because they tend to be stable trends.
Global Demographics is able to come…
Our guest is Clint Laurent from Global Demographics, an amazing demographer, businessman and observer of global trends long before they really take hold. He shares surprising observations that he believes will happen in the next 5 to 10 years.
Clint started Global Demographics in 1996 and cover 117 countries throughout the world and China. They do that right down to county level of 2,248 counties. Clint believes that demographics are better than financial data from the point of view of forecasting because they tend to be stable trends.
Global Demographics is able to come up with reliable forecasts at…
Issue 153
Assets Covered: KC HRW Wheat Futures (KW1), CBOT Corn Futures (C1)
Sign up to CI Newsletter to get this in your email as soon as it’s out.
Agriculture commodities have been on fire this quarter. Corn, wheat, soybeans, and coffee futures have all risen dramatically and they appear to be going higher. Coffee has been the big winner since April 1st, seeing a ~23% rise, followed by corn (~15%), rounding out with soybeans and wheat (each just under 9%).
KC HRW Wheat Futures (KW1) — Forecasts until September 2021CI Futures generated this chart. …
Joining QuickHit for the first time is the commodities expert Kevin Van Trump of The Van Trump Report, helping us understand ag’s supply, demand, and clarifying uncertainties. Why are we seeing so much attention to agriculture right now? What’s contributing to the tightness in the ag market? How long will the corn rally last? How about wheat? What can we expect for the foreseeable future? And protein, how delicate is this with all that’s happening with ASF, cyber attacks, etc.?
The Van Trump Report, a very large agricultural newsletter and analysis service. Kevin Van Trump started trading in the…
This is the second part of the crude oil discussion with energy markets veteran Vandana Hari. Tony Nash asked if the political tensions in the Middle East will affect oil prices in this environment, and how soon can we see the effect in oil prices if the Iran agreement is made? She also discussed her views on the Texas shale industry and when can we see a bounce back, or if we’ll ever see one.
The first part of this discussion can be found here.
Vandana Hari is based in Singapore. She runs Vanda Insights and have been looking…
Issue 152
Assets Covered: ICE Brent Crude Oil Futures, NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Futures
Sign up to CI Newsletter to get this in your email as soon as it’s out.
Crude markets are a long way from last year’s lows. April 20, 2020 was the day that WTI hit -$37 in the US. It’s hard to do worse than negative pricing of a physical commodity, but markets will undoubtedly find a way sometime in the future.
While awaiting the next circus act in financial markets, crude prices have recovered nicely. This week, Brent is trading in the mid-$60s and WTI…
Energy markets expert Vandana Hari is back on QuickHit to talk about crude oil. Brent is nearly at the $70 psychological mark and is also a 2-year high. However, demand has not picked up to the pre-Covid levels. Vandana explained what happened here and what to look forward to in the coming year. Also, is crude experiencing supply chain bottlenecks like in lumber and other commodities and how oil demand will pick up around the world?
Vandana Hari is based in Singapore. She runs Vanda Insights and have been looking at the oil markets for about 25 years now…
